Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ALGO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 0.095867 0.103492 0.111600 0.120890 0.131274 0.142563 0.155817
2024-11-03 0.086769 0.097915 0.110521 0.125954 0.144503 0.166293 0.194146
2024-11-10 0.081798 0.095349 0.111394 0.132059 0.158368 0.191306 0.236597
2024-11-17 0.075716 0.090386 0.108358 0.132417 0.164453 0.206667 0.268350
2024-11-24 0.069949 0.085072 0.104104 0.130386 0.166696 0.216648 0.293578
2024-12-01 0.064900 0.080154 0.099785 0.127614 0.167295 0.223983 0.315511
2024-12-08 0.060142 0.075216 0.094974 0.123599 0.165521 0.227379 0.331490
2024-12-15 0.057181 0.072427 0.092789 0.122957 0.168387 0.237768 0.359922
2024-12-22 0.054169 0.069354 0.089960 0.121087 0.169114 0.244730 0.383412
2024-12-29 0.052409 0.067878 0.089232 0.122171 0.174372 0.259406 0.422809
2025-01-05 0.049590 0.064752 0.085939 0.119118 0.172730 0.262284 0.440519
2025-01-12 0.046915 0.061696 0.082570 0.115694 0.170149 0.263181 0.454371
2025-01-19 0.044337 0.058782 0.079433 0.112711 0.168532 0.266480 0.475701
2025-01-26 0.043909 0.058977 0.080946 0.117243 0.180182 0.295668 0.559297
2025-02-02 0.043725 0.059505 0.082976 0.122761 0.194183 0.331644 0.669371
2025-02-09 0.042331 0.058131 0.081960 0.123084 0.198754 0.349529 0.740960
2025-02-16 0.040568 0.056104 0.079788 0.121246 0.199043 0.358462 0.791675
2025-02-23 0.038795 0.053976 0.077337 0.118735 0.197767 0.363793 0.834023
2025-03-02 0.036910 0.051597 0.074363 0.115097 0.193928 0.362865 0.857783
2025-03-09 0.035772 0.050337 0.073145 0.114514 0.196140 0.376147 0.930304
2025-03-16 0.034490 0.048795 0.071383 0.112817 0.195899 0.383590 0.986634
2025-03-23 0.033797 0.048159 0.071093 0.113801 0.201333 0.405758 1.103463
2025-03-30 0.032454 0.046426 0.068875 0.111030 0.198483 0.406575 1.141909